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	<title>The Parents' Basement &#187; Waste of time</title>
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		<title>Looking Back on my Pre-season NFL Bets</title>
		<link>http://theparentsbasement.com/2008/12/02/looking-back-on-my-pre-season-nfl-bets/</link>
		<comments>http://theparentsbasement.com/2008/12/02/looking-back-on-my-pre-season-nfl-bets/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2008 22:37:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bo</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Waste of time]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[At the risk of losing some credibility, I&#8217;ve decided to publish my pre-season NFL bets and see how they&#8217;re looking with 3/4 of the NFL season in the books.  To start with, I was extremely down on the Giants going into the season. I thought their Super Bowl win was a fluke, and I was [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=theparentsbasement.com&amp;blog=5581668&amp;post=5&amp;subd=theparentsbasement&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At the risk of losing some credibility, I&#8217;ve decided to publish my pre-season NFL bets and see how they&#8217;re looking with 3/4 of the NFL season in the books. </p>
<p>To start with, I was extremely down on the Giants going into the season. I thought their Super Bowl win was a fluke, and I was convinced they were heading for a sub .500 season. So that worked out well, considering the Giants are undeniably the best team in football at the moment. </p>
<p>Giants -190 to miss the playoffs &#8211; Status: Lost</p>
<p>Giants -140 under 9 regular season wins &#8211; Status: Lost</p>
<p>Giants +275 to finish 4th in the NFC East &#8211; Status: More retarded than <a title="Eugene" href="http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y30/leggo/Eugene.jpg" target="_blank">Eugene</a></p>
<p>Giants +225 to finish 3rd in the NFC East &#8211; Pat, I think I officially drank too much Eagles kool-aid. Status: Lost</p>
<p>Colts +600 to finish 3rd in the AFC South &#8211; Looked great after the first couple weeks of the season. If only the Jaguars weren&#8217;t such a joke, I&#8217;d be in solid position on this one, and I still believe this was good value. But then again, I&#8217;ve never won much betting against Peyton Manning. Status: Delusional</p>
<p>Texans +500 to finish 2nd in the AFC South &#8211; Terrible bet, although to be fair I was counting on Vince Young being the Titans QB for the length of the season, in which case I believe with all of my heart that they&#8217;d be hovering around .500. And I&#8217;ll continue to believe that the Texans are on the verge. Status: Lost</p>
<p>Steve Slaton +1800 and Chris Johnson +1400 to win Rookie of the Year &#8211; Both turned out to be tremendous values, and Johnson could pay off huge if only Matt Ryan weren&#8217;t putting up such a great season on a playoff team. Status: Unlikely, but very defensible. </p>
<p>Colts -170 Under 11 Regular Season wins &#8211; At 8-4 the Colts need to win 3 of 4 to beat the under, and they&#8217;re playing the Bengals, Lions, Jaguars, and a likely resting Titans team in week 17, so if it stays with the trend it&#8217;ll be another loss. And if so, Sage Rosenfels owes me money.  Status: Likely loss, but possible</p>
<p>Browns -120 Under 8 Regular Season wins &#8211; Finally looks like I&#8217;ll be getting on the win column, unless the Romeo Crennel hits his &#8220;miraculous finish&#8221; and Ken Dorsey goes 4-0 against the Titans, Eagles, and Steelers on the road and the Bengals at home. Status: Looking good</p>
<p>Bengals -145 Under 7 1/2 Regular Season wins &#8211; Well at least I did a good job of recognizing two overrated teams coming into the season. But even with a healthy Carson Palmer, I still can&#8217;t believe this line. Marvin Lewis deserved his job about as much as <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2205759" target="_blank">this guy</a>. Status: Win</p>
<p>Eagles +180 to make the playoffs &#8211; I&#8217;ll leave this one to Pat. Status: Doubtful</p>
<p>Bucs -140 to miss the playoffs &#8211; I thought Earnest Graham was a joke, Jeff Garcia was old, and they had no playmakers. I didn&#8217;t count on their D being so good, but there&#8217;s still a small chance they could collapse down the stretch. Status: Unlikely</p>
<p>Browns -150 to miss the playoffs &#8211; Betting against Romeo Crennel is something I should have caught onto much longer ago. Status: Win</p>
<p>Jaguars +350 to reach the conference final &#8211; Defense got old, O-line got hurt, season went to shit. Status: Blinded</p>
<p>So that would amount to a 3-10 record if everything holds up, not counting the two ROY bets. Pretty, pretty, awful. This seems like a good time to mention that I made the playoffs in all 5 of my fantasy leagues, so maybe I should just stick to that. I have managed to make some of the money back throughout the year on regular game spreads, plus a great bet on the Titans +300 to win the AFC South after week 2 when we found out VY wouldn&#8217;t be running the show.</p>
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